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Summary
What is wargaming and how can the process be used to inform and refine strategic planning? First, what is wargaming? Terry will start with a short presentation giving the historical perspective and military usage of wargaming. Second, will be how the process can inform and refine strategic planning and decision-making. Here we will pivot to describing non-military contexts/examples for wargaming (strategic planning/decision support). Third, he will solicit ideas participants might have for problems where wargaming could be helpful, and together will quickly iterate a wargame concept for the juiciest of these ideas.
Key Insights
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War gaming has a long history, dating back to Sun Tzu's strategies.
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Understanding both your own capabilities and your opponent’s is crucial for success in military strategy.
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War games differ from tabletop exercises in their competitive nature, often involving teams representing opposing interests.
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Effective war gaming requires significant collaboration and input from experts familiar with the scenarios being modeled.
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Human interaction is vital; data quality improves when knowledgeable participants are involved.
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Flexibility in the scope and scale of war gaming allows for various applications beyond military uses, including corporate decision-making.
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Iterative war gaming can reveal different strategies and information needs, leading to improved outcomes.
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Clear definitions of success in war games hinge on the quality of information generated for decision-makers.
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The mechanism of move sheets can facilitate a structured response to actions, mirroring the back-and-forth of user-system interactions in UX design.
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The insights gained from war gaming can help prepare for future challenges, enhancing overall business and strategic planning.
Notable Quotes
"War gaming is really a tool to better understand in a military context what your opponent might do."
"The goal is to improve decision making, to increase the quality of information for someone making a decision."
"War gaming is not just for the military; it's a method even organizations can use to explore complex scenarios."
"Plans are useless, but planning is everything."
"Each phase of the war gaming process has numerous steps and tools that must be carefully chosen based on the context."
"War gaming can inform planning decisions that might never be executed in the real world."
"A higher quality war game involves having knowledgeable participants to simulate realistic scenarios."
"Continuous iterations in war gaming allow for adjustments in strategy based on previous outcomes."
"The challenge is that people, even with the same information, will make different decisions over time."
"The future is ambiguous; preparing for it with war gaming helps clarify strategic options."
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